Timing and leverage are everything in American politics, and this week California Governor Gavin Newsom learned how quickly a bold gamble can backfire. His high-stakes move against President Donald Trump not only failed but also fueled Republican momentum.
Newsom had issued Trump a 24-hour ultimatum, warning that if he didn’t “stand down,” California would push for changes to its congressional map. The aim was to show national leadership and discourage Texas Republicans from pursuing aggressive redistricting.
But the ultimatum set an impossible standard. The strict deadline boxed Newsom in while giving Republicans time to organize counterattacks. Instead of deterring Texas leaders, the move provoked them to escalate.
The deeper flaw was structural. Unlike Texas, California relies on an independent commission to redraw districts. Any attempt to change the map would be slow, costly, and likely require voter approval — weaknesses Republicans were quick to highlight.